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MIG Market Watch, January 27th, 2020

MIG Market Watch, January 27th, 2020


MIG Market Watch, January 27th, 2020

MARKET COMMENT
Mortgage bond prices finished the week higher which put downward pressure on rates. Most of the data showed economic strength. A viral outbreak in China dominated headlines and caused global economic uncertainty which resulted in some flight to safety buying of MBSs. The World Health Organization was evenly split on a vote to issue a global health emergency. International travel was still affected by the end of the week as travelers to and from Asia were screened at entry points across the globe. Existing home sales were 5.54M. Analysts expected a reading of 5.42M. The FHFA House Price Index rose 0.2% as expected. Weekly jobless claims were a lower than expected 211K. Analysts expected a reading near the 215K four-week average. Continuing claims were 1731K versus the expected 1746K. Mortgage interest rates finished the week better by 1/4 to 3/8 of a discount point.

LOOKING AHEAD

Economic Indicator Release Date & Time Consensus Estimate Analysis
New Home Sales Monday, Jan. 27,
10:00 am, et
725K Important. An indication of economic strength and credit demand. Weakness may lead to lower rates.
Durable Goods Orders Tuesday, Jan. 28,
8:30 am, et
Up 0.5% Important. An indication of the demand for “big ticket” items. Weakness may lead to lower rates.
Consumer Confidence Tuesday, Jan. 28,
10:00 am, et
127.2 Important. An indication of consumers’ willingness to spend. Weakness may lead to lower mortgage rates.
Trade Data Wednesday, Jan. 29,
8:30 am, et
$68B deficit Important. Affects the value of the dollar. A falling deficit may strengthen the dollar and lead to lower rates.
Fed Meeting Adjourns Wednesday, Jan. 29,
2:15 pm, et
No rate changes Important. Few expect the Fed to change rates, but some volatility may surround the adjournment of this meeting.
Weekly Jobless Claims Thursday, Jan. 30,
8:30 am, et
212K Important. An indication of employment. Higher claims may result in lower rates.
Q4 GDP Thursday, Jan. 30,
8:30 am, et
Up 2.1% Very important. The aggregate measure of US economic production. Weakness may lead to lower rates.
Personal Income and Outlays Friday, Jan. 31,
8:30 am, et
Up 0.3%,
Up 0.3%
Important. A measure of consumers’ ability to spend. Weakness may lead to lower mortgage rates.
PCE Core Inflation Friday, Jan. 31,
8:30 am, et
Up 0.2% Important. A measure of price increases for all domestic personal consumption. Weaker figure may help rates improve.
Q4 Employment Cost Index Friday, Jan. 31,
8:30 am, et
Up 0.7% Very important. A measure of wage inflation. Weakness may lead to lower rates.

BUSY WEEK
Economic data is the number one reason mortgage interest rates move daily. Data is compiled from numerous sources and comes in two flavors, economic growth and inflation. Some releases are more important than others and thus are more likely to cause wider swings in mortgage rates. Rates move in relation to the deviation from expectations. We have significant releases all week. The potential for mortgage interest rate volatility is greater as a result. Volatility can be the enemy so caution is key.

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Mortgage Investors Group, based in Tennessee, offers residential financing in a number of states in the southeast, See MIG Service Areas. Terms and conditions to apply to home financing. We want to share with you the loan terms vary based on several characteristics and your financial profile. These include but are not limited to loan program, loan purpose, occupancy, credit history, credit score, assets, and other criteria per loan type. The repayment terms and interest rate may vary from time to time. The terms represented here are based on certain assumptions outlined below and/or noted on the loan outline page. Additional details concerning privacy, program disclosures, licensing specifics may be found at migonline.com Legal Information.

MIG Loan Officers will help gather the information needed for an individual assessment to provide home financing which matches the loan characteristics with your home financing needs based on your financial profile, when you are ready to begin a full loan application. For estimates and general information before that step, the basis for which the mortgage financing information are as follows:

  • Rates are subject to change at any time.
  • Rate locks are available at current terms for 30 to 180 days based on program type, credit profile, property location, etc. which will affect the available rate and term.
  • Rate locks are available at current terms for 30 to 180 days based on program type, credit profile, property location, etc. which will affect the available rate and term.
  • Payments will vary based on program selection, current rates, property location, etc.
  • Not all programs are available in all states.
  • Some loan programs may not be available to first time home buyers.
  • Terms and conditions apply, which may include restrictions or limits per loan program.
  • Information is generally based on primary residence occupancy with no cash out when refinancing.
  • Unless otherwise stated, terms shown are estimates based in part on credit score of 700 or higher; owner occupancy, escrow account is established for taxes and insurance(s); debt-to-income ratio no higher than 43.0%; PMI applies to conventional loan programs over 80.0% LTV; VA,FHA & RD require insuring fees included in loan and/or payment; fixed rate, 30 year term.

An MIG Loan Officer is available to help with your financial details to determine which characteristics apply to your situation for a personalized look into which loan program best fits your home financing needs. Please use the Find a Loan Officer link or reach out to Mortgage Investors Group at 800-489-8910. Equal Housing Lender 1.2020